PECOTA projections say Tigers might not be as bad as you think


LAKELAND, Fla. — PECOTA, the famed projection engine used by Baseball Prospectus, has unveiled its long-awaited predictions for the 2020 season.

And the news is actually not that bad for Detroit Tigers fans.

PECOTA doesn’t predict a repeat of 2019, when the Tigers finished 47-114, dead last in baseball and very nearly one of the worst teams in baseball history.

In fact, PECOTA says the Tigers won’t even be the worst team in the American League. Or even in the Central Division.

The Tigers are predicted to finish 69-93, a 22-win improvement over 2019, and one game ahead of the Kansas City Royals in the Central. Two other AL teams — the Baltimore Orioles (63-99) and Seattle Mariners (66-96) are predicted to be even worse.

The division winners — New York, Minnesota and Houston in the AL and New York, Cincinnati and Los Angeles in the NL — are not huge surprises.

PECOTA’s simulations are based on depth chart and playing time projections that can change dramatically — especially for a team with unsettled positions like the Tigers. So check back for a final prediction before the start of the season, when the rosters of all 30 teams should be a bit more clear.

And don’t get…

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